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CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

5-8  |  Road

37
FINAL
Sun, Dec 15 • 1:00 PM ET
Nissan Stadium
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

3-10  |  Home

27
Key Game
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
@
Kendell Brooks
KEY GAME

Kendell Brooks

#30 | Safety
Player
Ryan Rehkow None-None
Kendell Brooks None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
68%
📊
TITANS
32%
BENGALS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
40.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (Tennessee)
BengalsCIN (-3.5) 0 TitansTEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

40.7%

Titans Cover

59.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TEN -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEN)

CIN By 1-6 points

15.1%

CIN By 7-13 points

12.7%

TEN By 1-6 points

17.0%

TEN By 7-13 points

17.6%

AI Model Projected Score
18.43
CINCINNATI
21.73
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
23
CINCINNATI
27
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Titans Loss
32% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.3
D
Sim Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 40.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 15, 2024 CIN @ TEN 37 - 27
Oct 1, 2023 CIN @ TEN 3 - 27
Nov 27, 2022 CIN @ TEN 20 - 16
Jan 22, 2022 CIN @ TEN 19 - 16
Nov 1, 2020 TEN @ CIN 20 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +16.6% more
Tennessee: 99.8 vs Cincinnati: 85.6
Net Passing Yards (L5) +39.6% more
Cincinnati: 319.8 vs Tennessee: 193.3
First Downs (L5) +30.8% more
Cincinnati: 23.4 vs Tennessee: 16.2
Total Yards (L5) +27.7% more
Cincinnati: 405.4 vs Tennessee: 293.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 18.4 37
TEN Score 21.7 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.2 / 23.4 25.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards 193.3 / 319.8 291.0 / 269.0
Rushing Yards 99.8 / 85.6 83.0 / 101.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.62 / 0.77
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 293.1 / 405.4 374.0 / 370.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 1.3 6.0 / 4.0
Yards Per Play 5.0 / 6.2 5.8 / 5.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
TEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEN
CIN
TEN
CIN
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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