Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Jets LAR @ NYJ

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

8-6  |  Road

19
FINAL
Sun, Dec 22 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

JETSNYJ

4-10  |  Home

9
Key Game
Davante Adams
KEY GAME

Davante Adams

#17 | Wide Receiver
@
Marcelino McCrary-Ball
KEY GAME

Marcelino McCrary-Ball

#41 | Linebacker
Player
Davante Adams None-None
Marcelino McCrary-Ball None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
77%
📊
JETS
23%
RAMS --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 44%
Under 0 56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (New York)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 JetsNYJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

40.8%

Jets Cover

59.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYJ -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYJ)

LAR By 1-6 points

15.1%

LAR By 7-13 points

12.7%

NYJ By 1-6 points

17.0%

NYJ By 7-13 points

17.6%

AI Model Projected Score
22.66
LOS ANGELES
25.92
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
20
LOS ANGELES
24
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jets Loss
23% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.3
D
Sim Jets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 48.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2024 LAR @ NYJ 19 - 9
Dec 20, 2020 NYJ @ LAR 23 - 20
Nov 13, 2016 LAR @ NYJ 9 - 6
Nov 18, 2012 NYJ @ LAR 27 - 13
Nov 9, 2008 LAR @ NYJ 3 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +22.0% more
New York: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +9.0% more
New York: 241.1 vs Los Angeles: 221.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +8.4% more
New York: 6.0 vs Los Angeles: 5.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +22.4% more
Los Angeles: 128.5 vs New York: 99.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 22.7 19
NYJ Score 25.9 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.5 / 20.5 17.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards 241.1 / 221.3 246.0 / 110.0
Rushing Yards 99.8 / 128.5 75.0 / 132.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards 340.9 / 349.8 321.0 / 242.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 0.3 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 6.0 / 5.5 5.1 / 4.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
NYJ
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
NYJ Advantage
2-1-1 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
NYJ
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYJ
LAR
NYJ
LAR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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