Home / NFL Projections NFL / Vikings @ Seahawks MIN @ SEA

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

12-2  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Dec 22 • 4:05 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

8-6  |  Home

24
Key Game
Will Reichard
KEY GAME

Will Reichard

#16 | Place kicker
@
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
Player
Will Reichard None-None
Michael Dickson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
82%
📊
SEAHAWKS
18%
VIKINGS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
51.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 58%
Under 0 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Minnesota)
VikingsMIN (-3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

58.3%

Seahawks Cover

41.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around MIN -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-6 points

17.0%

MIN By 7-13 points

17.4%

SEA By 1-6 points

15.3%

SEA By 7-13 points

13.0%

AI Model Projected Score
27.09
MINNESOTA
24.14
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
21
MINNESOTA
24
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vikings Win
82% Win Prob
A
Sim Seahawks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vikings (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.9
C
Sim Seahawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 51.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 MIN @ SEA 0 - 26
Dec 22, 2024 MIN @ SEA 27 - 24
Sep 26, 2021 SEA @ MIN 17 - 30
Oct 11, 2020 MIN @ SEA 26 - 27
Dec 2, 2019 MIN @ SEA 30 - 37
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +27.1% more
Minnesota: 22.8 vs Seattle: 16.6
Net Passing Yards (L5) +24.4% more
Minnesota: 251.9 vs Seattle: 190.4
Total Yards (L5) +18.9% more
Minnesota: 360.3 vs Seattle: 292.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +14.9% more
Minnesota: 5.8 vs Seattle: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 27.1 27
SEA Score 24.1 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.6 / 22.8 23.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 190.4 / 251.9 302.0 / 217.0
Rushing Yards 101.9 / 108.4 59.0 / 81.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.2 / 0.25
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards 292.3 / 360.3 361.0 / 298.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 0.9 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 4.9 / 5.8 6.0 / 4.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
SEA
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
MIN
SEA
MIN
ML
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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