SEATTLE
SEAHAWKSSEA
8-7 | Road
6
CHICAGO
BEARSCHI
4-11 | Home
3
Key Game
KEY GAME
Michael Dickson
#4 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Tory Taylor
#19 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Michael Dickson | None-None |
| Tory Taylor | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
76%
BEARS
24%
SEAHAWKS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
37%
Under 0
63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.8
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.8 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CHI -3.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
SEA By 1-6 points
14.8%
SEA By 7-13 points
12.3%
CHI By 1-6 points
17.0%
CHI By 7-13 points
17.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
19.06
SEATTLE
Chicago
22.88
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Seattle
17
SEATTLE
Chicago
24
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Loss
24% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.8
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 41.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 41.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 26, 2024
SEA @ CHI
6 - 3
Dec 26, 2021
CHI @ SEA
25 - 24
Sep 17, 2018
SEA @ CHI
17 - 24
Sep 27, 2015
CHI @ SEA
0 - 26
Dec 2, 2012
SEA @ CHI
23 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.3% more
Seattle: 1.6
vs
Chicago: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
19.1
6
CHI Score
22.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
17.4 / 18.7
11.0 / 12.0
Net Passing Yards
224.4 / 227.6
76.0 / 143.0
Rushing Yards
84.9 / 87.6
103.0 / 122.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.3
0.33 / 0.38
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards
309.3 / 315.2
179.0 / 265.0
Turnovers
1.1 / 1.6
1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
5.1 / 5.3
3.1 / 5.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
CHI
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
CHI
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
SEA
CHI
SEA
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
1-1-2
100%
4-0
50%
1-1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
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