INDIANAPOLIS
COLTSIND
7-8 | Road
33
NEW YORK
GIANTSNYG
2-13 | Home
45
Key Game
KEY GAME
Darius Slayton
#18 | Wide Receiver@
KEY GAME
Kayvon Thibodeaux
#5 | Linebacker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Darius Slayton | None-None |
| Kayvon Thibodeaux | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COLTS
85%
GIANTS
15%
COLTS
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
30.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)
IND By 1-6 points
13.5%
IND By 7-13 points
10.4%
NYG By 1-6 points
16.7%
NYG By 7-13 points
19.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Indianapolis
12.25
INDIANAPOLIS
New York
18.23
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Indianapolis
20
INDIANAPOLIS
New York
24
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Win
15% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
C
Sim
Giants (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 30.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2024
IND @ NYG
33 - 45
Jan 1, 2023
IND @ NYG
10 - 38
Dec 23, 2018
NYG @ IND
27 - 28
Nov 3, 2014
IND @ NYG
40 - 24
Sep 19, 2010
NYG @ IND
14 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+20.4% more
New York: 182.2
vs
Indianapolis: 151.3
Rushing Yards (L5)
+59.7% more
Indianapolis: 197.0
vs
New York: 79.4
Total Yards (L5)
+24.9% more
Indianapolis: 348.2
vs
New York: 261.6
Yards Per Play (L5)
+23.8% more
Indianapolis: 5.6
vs
New York: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
12.3
33
NYG Score
18.2
45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
16.9 / 17.9
15.0 / 25.0
Net Passing Yards
182.2 / 151.3
309.0 / 320.0
Rushing Yards
79.4 / 197.0
80.0 / 126.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.4
0.54 / 0.54
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards
261.6 / 348.2
389.0 / 446.0
Turnovers
1.9 / 2.1
0.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play
4.3 / 5.6
7.3 / 6.1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +1.0
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +1.0
NYG
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
IND
NYG
IND
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
ATS
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
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