Home / NFL Projections NFL / Cowboys @ Eagles DAL @ PHI

DALLAS

COWBOYSDAL

7-8  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sun, Dec 29 • 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

12-3  |  Home

41
Key Game
Bryan Anger
KEY GAME

Bryan Anger

#5 | Punter
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Bryan Anger None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
18%
📊
EAGLES
82%
COWBOYS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 95%
Under 0 5%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Philadelphia)
CowboysDAL (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

49.4%

Eagles Cover

50.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

DAL By 1-6 points

16.4%

DAL By 7-13 points

15.2%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.5%

PHI By 7-13 points

15.5%

AI Model Projected Score
29.33
DALLAS
29.54
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
24
DALLAS
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
82% Win Prob
A
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.2
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 58.9
A
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 PHI @ DAL 21 - 24
Sep 4, 2025 DAL @ PHI 20 - 24
Dec 29, 2024 DAL @ PHI 7 - 41
Nov 10, 2024 PHI @ DAL 34 - 6
Dec 10, 2023 PHI @ DAL 13 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +75.2% more
Philadelphia: 191.7 vs Dallas: 109.4
Turnovers (L5) +30.0% more
Philadelphia: 1.2 vs Dallas: 0.9
First Downs (L5) +13.7% more
Philadelphia: 21.3 vs Dallas: 18.8
Net Passing Yards (L5) +29.4% more
Dallas: 229.5 vs Philadelphia: 162.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 29.3 7
PHI Score 29.5 41
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.3 / 18.8 20.0 / 16.0
Net Passing Yards 162.0 / 229.5 197.0 / 141.0
Rushing Yards 191.7 / 109.4 179.0 / 127.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.46 / 0.43
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 353.7 / 338.9 376.0 / 268.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.9 0.0 / 4.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 5.4 6.2 / 4.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +8.0
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
DAL
PHI
DAL
ML
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1-1
75% 3-1
100% 3-0-1
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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