CHICAGO
BEARSCHI
4-12 | Road
24
GREEN BAY
PACKERSGB
11-5 | Home
22
Key Game
KEY GAME
Tory Taylor
#19 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Ty'Ron Hopper
#59 | Linebacker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Tory Taylor | None-None |
| Ty'Ron Hopper | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
13%
PACKERS
87%
BEARS
--
PACKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.7
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.7 points (Green Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GB -12.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)
CHI By 1-6 points
8.8%
CHI By 7-13 points
5.4%
GB By 1-6 points
13.7%
GB By 7-13 points
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
15.06
CHICAGO
Green Bay
27.79
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Chicago
27
CHICAGO
Green Bay
23
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Packers
Loss
87% Win Prob
A
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Packers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.7
D
Sim
Bears (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 42.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
GB @ CHI
27 - 31
Dec 20, 2025
GB @ CHI
16 - 22
Dec 7, 2025
CHI @ GB
21 - 28
Jan 5, 2025
CHI @ GB
24 - 22
Nov 17, 2024
GB @ CHI
20 - 19
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+46.6% more
Green Bay: 133.3
vs
Chicago: 91.0
Yards Per Play (L5)
+30.0% more
Green Bay: 5.8
vs
Chicago: 4.4
First Downs (L5)
+29.8% more
Green Bay: 19.8
vs
Chicago: 15.2
Total Yards (L5)
+27.0% more
Green Bay: 337.6
vs
Chicago: 265.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
15.1
24
GB Score
27.8
22
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.8 / 15.2
20.0 / 16.0
Net Passing Yards
204.3 / 174.9
184.0 / 141.0
Rushing Yards
133.3 / 91.0
183.0 / 83.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.3
0.3 / 0.5
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards
337.6 / 265.9
367.0 / 224.0
Turnovers
0.7 / 1.1
2.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play
5.8 / 4.4
6.0 / 3.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
GB
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
GB
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
CHI
GB
CHI
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
ATS
0%
0-3-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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