Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Rams SEA @ LAR

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

9-7  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sun, Jan 5 • 4:25 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

10-6  |  Home

25
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
44%
📊
RAMS
56%
SEAHAWKS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Los Angeles)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

49.1%

Rams Cover

50.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAR -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

SEA By 1-6 points

16.4%

SEA By 7-13 points

15.1%

LAR By 1-6 points

16.5%

LAR By 7-13 points

15.6%

AI Model Projected Score
21.14
SEATTLE
21.45
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
20
SEATTLE
24
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.3
B
Sim Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 42.6
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 25, 2026 LAR @ SEA 27 - 31
Dec 18, 2025 LAR @ SEA 37 - 38
Nov 16, 2025 SEA @ LAR 19 - 21
Jan 5, 2025 SEA @ LAR 30 - 25
Nov 3, 2024 LAR @ SEA 26 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +10.2% more
Los Angeles: 109.1 vs Seattle: 99.1
Turnovers (L5) +75.0% more
Seattle: 1.4 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 21.1 30
LAR Score 21.5 25
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.9 / 16.5 20.0 / 18.0
Net Passing Yards 185.8 / 199.4 319.0 / 210.0
Rushing Yards 109.1 / 99.1 84.0 / 126.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.36 / 0.55
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 294.9 / 298.5 403.0 / 336.0
Turnovers 0.4 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.1 / 5.3 6.2 / 6.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
SEA
LAR
SEA
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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