LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
98-64 | Road
7
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
94-68 | Home
6
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
100%
YANKEES
0%
DODGERS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
LAD By 1-2 runs
15.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
9.5%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.45
LOS ANGELES
New York
6.84
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
New York
6
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
LAD @ NYY
1 - 2
Jul 17, 2026
LAD @ NYY
2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025
NYY @ LAD
7 - 3
May 31, 2025
NYY @ LAD
2 - 18
May 30, 2025
NYY @ LAD
5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.424
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.762
OPS
▲
1.041
204
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+82.2% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Los Angeles: 4.9
Slugging Pct (Season)
+17.0%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Los Angeles: 42.4%
Batting Avg (Season)
+11.8%
New York: 37.5%
vs
Los Angeles: 25.7%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+10.9%
New York: 44.7%
vs
Los Angeles: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.5
7
NYY Score
6.8
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.5
3.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.4 / 6.9
8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 1.9
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 7.6
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.5 / 14.3
19.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.7 / 5.0
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
LAD
NYY
LAD
ML
47%
76-85
56%
92-73
52%
85-77
48%
79-87
ATS
59%
95-66
59%
98-67
53%
86-76
43%
72-94
TTL
53%
81-73-7
48%
77-82-6
53%
82-72-7
44%
70-90-6
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