DETROIT
LIONSDET
0-0 | Road
13
GREEN BAY
PACKERSGB
0-0 | Home
27
Key Game
KEY GAME
Jack Fox
#3 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Daniel Whelan
#19 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Jack Fox | None-None |
| Daniel Whelan | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
PACKERS
100%
LIONS
--
PACKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
32.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around DET -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-6 points
16.9%
DET By 7-13 points
18.2%
GB By 1-6 points
14.5%
GB By 7-13 points
11.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
18.66
DETROIT
Green Bay
14.28
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Detroit
24
DETROIT
Green Bay
27
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Packers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Packers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 32.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 27, 2025
GB @ DET
31 - 24
Sep 7, 2025
DET @ GB
13 - 27
Dec 5, 2024
GB @ DET
31 - 34
Nov 3, 2024
DET @ GB
24 - 14
Nov 23, 2023
GB @ DET
29 - 22
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+33.4% more
Detroit: 295.2
vs
Green Bay: 196.7
First Downs (L5)
+29.5% more
Detroit: 26.8
vs
Green Bay: 18.9
Total Yards (L5)
+27.9% more
Detroit: 461.1
vs
Green Bay: 332.3
Rushing Yards (L5)
+18.3% more
Detroit: 165.9
vs
Green Bay: 135.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
18.7
13
GB Score
14.3
27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
18.9 / 26.8
14.0 / 16.0
Net Passing Yards
196.7 / 295.2
188.0 / 200.0
Rushing Yards
135.6 / 165.9
78.0 / 46.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.5
0.4 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.41 / 0.59
Total Yards
332.3 / 461.1
266.0 / 246.0
Turnovers
2.1 / 2.3
0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
5.6 / 6.8
5.7 / 3.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
GB
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
0-3-1
(0.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
GB
Advantage
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0%
Total +/-: +10.0
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
DET
GB
DET
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3-1
33%
1-2-1
33%
1-2-1
67%
2-1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Week 5 Injury Report: Jeremiyah Love Limited; Paris Jo…
Brian Branch's Return to Practice Could Be the Spark Detroit's D…
Packers Power Rankings: Green Bay Stuck at No. 24 After Sloppy W…
Falcons' Historic Scoring Surge Evokes Memories of 2016 NFC Cham…
McMillan's Record Night Exposes Lions' Defensive Woes in Panther…