COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
9-50 | Road
6
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
23-34 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Max Meyer
#23 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 1.50 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Max Meyer | None-None | 4.73 | -- | 5.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.50 Ldr
ERA
4.73
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
100%
MARLINS
0%
ROCKIES
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIA -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
COL By 1-2 runs
18.1%
COL By 3-4 runs
13.0%
MIA By 1-2 runs
18.8%
MIA By 3-4 runs
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.85
COLORADO
Miami
3.06
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Miami
5
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Marlins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Marlins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Marlins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
D
Sim
Marlins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 2, 2026
MIA @ COL
4 - 14
Jul 1, 2026
MIA @ COL
3 - 6
Jun 30, 2026
MIA @ COL
14 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
MIA @ COL
10 - 7
Mar 29, 2026
COL @ MIA
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.249
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.739
▲
OPS
.727
180
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+38.3% more
Miami: 7.2
vs
Colorado: 5.2
Walks (L5)
+34.0% more
Miami: 3.6
vs
Colorado: 2.7
Total Bases (L5)
+8.4% more
Miami: 10.2
vs
Colorado: 9.4
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.4%
Miami: 32.6%
vs
Colorado: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.9
6
MIA Score
3.1
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
7.2 / 5.2
11.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 1.2
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 7.9
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
10.2 / 9.4
17.0 / 21.0
Walks
3.6 / 2.7
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
COL
MIA
COL
ML
48%
78-84
60%
97-64
55%
88-72
55%
88-73
ATS
56%
91-71
60%
97-64
54%
86-74
52%
83-78
TTL
56%
88-69-5
60%
93-62-6
53%
82-73-5
50%
77-78-6
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