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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

32-28  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Jun 2 • 7:10 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

REDSCIN

29-31  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Trevor Megill
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Megill

#29 | Relief Pitcher
@
Brady Singer
STARTING PITCHER

Brady Singer

#51 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Trevor Megill None-None 2.21 -- 1.0 1
Brady Singer None-None 4.66 -- 5.0 4
None-None W-L None-None
2.21 Ldr ERA 4.66
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 5.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
0%
📊
REDS
100%
BREWERS --
REDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 RedsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

60.5%

Reds Cover

39.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.5%

CIN By 1-2 runs

16.1%

CIN By 3-4 runs

10.4%

AI Model Projected Score
5.05
MILWAUKEE
3.98
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
4
MILWAUKEE
5
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Reds Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim Reds (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 CIN @ MIL 4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026 CIN @ MIL 9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026 CIN @ MIL 0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026 MIL @ CIN 8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026 MIL @ CIN 3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Cincinnati CIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.11
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.229
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.305
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.394
.743 ▲
OPS
.699
154
Home Runs
▲ 213
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +50.5% more
Milwaukee: 12.2 vs Cincinnati: 6.1
Total Bases (L5) +47.0% more
Milwaukee: 18.8 vs Cincinnati: 10.0
Runs per Game (Season) +20.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Cincinnati: 4.1
Home Runs (L5) +14.6% more
Milwaukee: 1.2 vs Cincinnati: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 5.1 3
CIN Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.2 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.1 / 12.2 8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.2 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.8 / 7.1 7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 10.0 / 18.8 9.0 / 9.0
Walks 3.2 / 2.7 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CIN
75-87-0 (46.3%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
MIL
CIN
MIL
ML
55% 88-71
62% 101-61
49% 79-81
52% 84-78
ATS
54% 86-73
58% 94-68
50% 80-80
48% 78-84
TTL
53% 81-73-5
40% 62-92-8
54% 83-72-5
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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