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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

26-32  |  Road

7
FINAL
Mon, Jun 2 • 7:10 PM ET
Fenway Park
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

RED SOXBOS

29-32  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
@
Ceddanne Rafaela
STARTING PITCHER

Ceddanne Rafaela

#3 | Center Field
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Reid Detmers None-None 6.29 -- 1.0 --
Ceddanne Rafaela None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
6.29 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
📊
RED SOX
0%
ANGELS --
RED SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Boston)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 Red SoxBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

48.9%

Red Sox Cover

51.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BOS -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.2%

LAA By 3-4 runs

13.2%

BOS By 1-2 runs

18.6%

BOS By 3-4 runs

13.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.92
LOS ANGELES
4.03
BOSTON
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Sox Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim Red Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 LAA @ BOS 6 - 4
Sep 8, 2026 LAA @ BOS 6 - 1
Sep 7, 2026 LAA @ BOS 2 - 5
Jul 5, 2026 BOS @ LAA 7 - 5
Jul 4, 2026 BOS @ LAA 8 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Boston BOS
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.04 ▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.310 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.369 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.679 ▲
OPS
.409
154 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +42.8% more
Boston: 10.1 vs Los Angeles: 7.1
Hits (L5) +15.3% more
Boston: 7.6 vs Los Angeles: 6.6
Home Runs (Season) +98.7% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season) +75.2% more
Los Angeles: 4.0 vs Boston: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.9 7
BOS Score 4.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.9 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.6 / 6.6 11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.0 1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 10.1 / 7.1 5.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 10.4 / 10.6 19.0 / 20.0
Walks 3.2 / 4.7 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
BOS Advantage
87-77-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
LAA
BOS
LAA
ML
50% 80-80
59% 96-66
47% 76-87
55% 89-73
ATS
58% 93-67
60% 97-65
48% 79-84
51% 82-80
TTL
46% 72-83-5
53% 83-74-5
47% 74-83-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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