Home / MLB Projections MLB / Mets @ Dodgers NYM @ LAD

NEW YORK

METSNYM

37-22  |  Road

4
FINAL
Mon, Jun 2 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

36-23  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Luis Torrens
STARTING PITCHER

Luis Torrens

#13 | Catcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Luis Torrens None-None -- -- -- --
Tanner Scott None-None 4.73 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.73
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
METS
100%
📊
DODGERS
0%
METS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Los Angeles)
MetsNYM (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mets Cover

41.4%

Dodgers Cover

58.6%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

NYM By 1-2 runs

16.6%

NYM By 3-4 runs

11.0%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.5%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.0%

AI Model Projected Score
4.37
NEW YORK
5.24
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 26, 2026 LAD @ NYM 3 - 8
Jul 25, 2026 LAD @ NYM 4 - 3
Jul 24, 2026 LAD @ NYM 4 - 2
Apr 15, 2026 NYM @ LAD 2 - 8
Apr 14, 2026 NYM @ LAD 1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYM
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.705
OPS
▲ .762
204
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +81.2% more
Los Angeles: 4.7 vs New York: 2.6
Hits (L5) +41.9% more
Los Angeles: 10.9 vs New York: 7.7
Total Bases (L5) +30.3% more
Los Angeles: 21.5 vs New York: 16.5
Errors (L5) +27.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.5 vs New York: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYM Score 4.4 4
LAD Score 5.2 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.2 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.9 / 7.7 9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 2.8 / 2.4 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 8.6 8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 21.5 / 16.5 12.0 / 14.0
Walks 4.7 / 2.6 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0 (45.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +0.7
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
NYM
LAD
NYM
ML
56% 92-73
50% 79-80
48% 79-87
48% 76-83
ATS
59% 98-67
58% 93-66
43% 72-94
49% 78-81
TTL
48% 77-82-6
55% 80-66-13
44% 70-90-6
51% 74-72-13
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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