Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Guardians LAA @ CLE

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

26-31  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Jun 1 • 1:40 PM ET
Progressive Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

31-26  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Mike Trout
STARTING PITCHER

Mike Trout

#27 | Center Field
@
Matt Festa
STARTING PITCHER

Matt Festa

#52 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Mike Trout None-None -- -- -- --
Matt Festa None-None 4.05 -- 0.1 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.05
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
📊
GUARDIANS
100%
ANGELS --
GUARDIANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 GuardiansCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

65.0%

Guardians Cover

35.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

17.6%

CLE By 1-2 runs

14.9%

CLE By 3-4 runs

9.1%

AI Model Projected Score
5.33
LOS ANGELES
3.79
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Guardians Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim Guardians (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 CLE @ LAA 4 - 3
Aug 25, 2026 CLE @ LAA 8 - 6
Aug 24, 2026 CLE @ LAA 4 - 2
May 13, 2026 LAA @ CLE 2 - 4
May 12, 2026 LAA @ CLE 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Cleveland CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.19
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .239
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .316
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .380
.679
OPS
▲ .696
154
Home Runs
▲ 162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +13.8% more
Los Angeles: 1.5 vs Cleveland: 1.3
Walks (L5) +12.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.6 vs Cleveland: 4.0
Errors (L5) +11.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9 vs Cleveland: 0.8
Strikeouts (L5) +28.2% more
Cleveland: 9.1 vs Los Angeles: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 5.3 2
CLE Score 3.8 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.2 / 8.4 6.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.5 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 7.1 11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 15.5 / 14.3 9.0 / 3.0
Walks 4.0 / 4.6 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CLE Advantage
87-79-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
LAA
CLE
LAA
ML
54% 87-75
59% 96-66
49% 80-83
55% 89-73
ATS
57% 93-69
60% 97-65
58% 95-68
51% 82-80
TTL
56% 89-71-2
53% 83-74-5
44% 70-90-2
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
cbssports 0 minutes ago
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
foxnews 0 minutes ago
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
si 0 minutes ago
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
yardbarker 0 minutes ago
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
yahoo 3 hours, 52 minutes ago