Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brooks Lee
#22 | Third Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Lee | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.40 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
1.40
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
0%
MARINERS
100%
TWINS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
17.7%
SEA By 1-2 runs
14.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
8.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4.84
MINNESOTA
Seattle
3.22
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Twins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Twins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
MIN @ SEA
6 - 7
Aug 1, 2026
MIN @ SEA
3 - 4
Jul 31, 2026
MIN @ SEA
5 - 3
Apr 29, 2026
SEA @ MIN
5 - 3
Apr 28, 2026
SEA @ MIN
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.720
▲
OPS
.693
187
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+10.8% more
Minnesota: 9.8
vs
Seattle: 8.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+10.1% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Total Bases (L5)
+9.2% more
Minnesota: 16.2
vs
Seattle: 14.7
OPS (Season)
+2.7%
Minnesota: 72.0%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.8
1
SEA Score
3.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.8 / 9.8
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 8.3
9.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
14.7 / 16.2
10.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.2
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
MIN
SEA
MIN
ML
50%
81-81
52%
84-78
52%
85-77
50%
80-81
ATS
60%
98-64
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
59%
95-66
TTL
56%
85-67-10
51%
78-75-9
53%
81-71-10
53%
80-72-9