Home / MLB Projections MLB / Yankees @ Dodgers NYY @ LAD

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

35-22  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sun, Jun 1 • 7:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

36-22  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Tim Hill
STARTING PITCHER

Tim Hill

#41 | Relief Pitcher
@
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
STARTING PITCHER

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

#18 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tim Hill None-None 3.24 -- 1.0 1
Yoshinobu Yamamoto None-None 2.39 -- 3.2 2
None-None W-L None-None
3.24 ERA Ldr 2.39
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 3.2
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
100%
📊
DODGERS
0%
YANKEES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Los Angeles)
YankeesNYY (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

30.2%

Dodgers Cover

69.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

NYY By 1-2 runs

13.4%

NYY By 3-4 runs

7.6%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.5%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
5.31
NEW YORK
7.38
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.1
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 12.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 19, 2026 LAD @ NYY 1 - 2
Jul 17, 2026 LAD @ NYY 2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025 NYY @ LAD 7 - 3
May 31, 2025 NYY @ LAD 2 - 18
May 30, 2025 NYY @ LAD 5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Los Angeles LAD
1
Games Played
▲ 162
9.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.375 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.447 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.594 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.424
1.041 ▲
OPS
.762
2
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +10100.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs New York: 2.0
Hits (L5) +73.6% more
Los Angeles: 13.4 vs New York: 7.7
Total Bases (L5) +58.2% more
Los Angeles: 24.3 vs New York: 15.4
Home Runs (L5) +41.4% more
Los Angeles: 2.6 vs New York: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 5.3 7
LAD Score 7.4 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.3 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 13.4 / 7.7 6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 2.6 / 1.9 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.6 / 7.1 11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 24.3 / 15.4 16.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.6 / 3.6 7.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
NYY
LAD
NYY
ML
56% 92-73
47% 76-85
48% 79-87
52% 85-77
ATS
59% 98-67
59% 95-66
43% 72-94
53% 86-76
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 81-73-7
44% 70-90-6
53% 82-72-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 0 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 10 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 5 hours, 49 minutes ago
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
yahoo 5 hours, 58 minutes ago