MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
30-28 | Road
17
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
36-21 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jesus Luzardo
#44 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 2.76 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Jesus Luzardo | None-None | 3.58 | -- | 3.1 | 4 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.76 Ldr
ERA
3.58
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 3.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
0%
PHILLIES
100%
BREWERS
--
PHILLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.9%
PHI By 1-2 runs
16.7%
PHI By 3-4 runs
11.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
4.8
MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia
3.96
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia
5
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phillies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim
Phillies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
MIL @ PHI
5 - 1
Sep 23, 2026
MIL @ PHI
4 - 1
Sep 22, 2026
MIL @ PHI
4 - 6
Jun 14, 2026
PHI @ MIL
0 - 4
Jun 13, 2026
PHI @ MIL
9 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Philadelphia
PHI
162
▲
Games Played
2
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.438
.743
▲
OPS
.724
154
▲
Home Runs
3
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.1% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+31.9% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Philadelphia: 3.5
Hits (L5)
+26.0% more
Milwaukee: 9.2
vs
Philadelphia: 6.8
Total Bases (L5)
+22.8% more
Milwaukee: 15.3
vs
Philadelphia: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
4.8
17
PHI Score
4.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 9.2
10.0 / 23.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.3
2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
10.9 / 8.3
7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 15.3
20.0 / 36.0
Walks
4.2 / 3.1
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
PHI
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIL
PHI
MIL
ML
59%
97-67
62%
101-61
49%
80-84
52%
84-78
ATS
65%
107-57
58%
94-68
51%
83-81
48%
78-84
TTL
57%
88-67-9
40%
62-92-8
51%
78-76-9
50%
77-77-8
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Padres' Bullpen Boosted for Game 4 as Miller Returns, King Avail…