ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
32-25 | Road
2
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
28-30 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Pedro Pages
#43 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Winn
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Pages | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Cole Winn | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
RANGERS
0%
CARDINALS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
STL By 1-2 runs
17.3%
STL By 3-4 runs
11.8%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.2%
TEX By 3-4 runs
15.2%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
4.25
ST. LOUIS
Texas
4.84
TEXAS
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Texas
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 3, 2026
TEX @ STL
3 - 5
Jun 2, 2026
TEX @ STL
7 - 4
Jun 1, 2026
TEX @ STL
2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025
STL @ TEX
1 - 8
May 31, 2025
STL @ TEX
2 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis
STL
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.44
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.396
.691
OPS
▲
.713
167
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+40.9% more
Texas: 3.3
vs
St. Louis: 2.3
Home Runs (L5)
+22.0% more
Texas: 0.9
vs
St. Louis: 0.7
Home Runs (Season)
+9.6% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
St. Louis: 167.0
OPS (Season)
+2.2%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
St. Louis: 69.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
4.3
2
TEX Score
4.8
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 1.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 8.3
4.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 8.1
5.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
11.6 / 12.8
4.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.3
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
STL
TEX
STL
ML
53%
86-76
53%
85-74
57%
91-70
52%
84-77
ATS
57%
92-70
56%
89-70
61%
98-63
53%
85-76
TTL
53%
78-70-14
46%
68-81-10
55%
81-66-14
50%
76-75-10
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