Home / MLB Projections MLB / Yankees @ Dodgers NYY @ LAD

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

35-21  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, May 31 • 7:15 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

35-22  |  Home

18
Probable Pitchers
Brent Headrick
STARTING PITCHER

Brent Headrick

#47 | Relief Pitcher
@
Enrique Hernandez
STARTING PITCHER

Enrique Hernandez

#8 | Third Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brent Headrick None-None 3.24 -- 0.2 1
Enrique Hernandez None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.24 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
0%
📊
DODGERS
100%
YANKEES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (New York)
YankeesNYY (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

51.8%

Dodgers Cover

48.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

NYY By 1-2 runs

18.7%

NYY By 3-4 runs

14.1%

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

13.0%

AI Model Projected Score
6.11
NEW YORK
5.93
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Yankees Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Yankees (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 19, 2026 LAD @ NYY 1 - 2
Jul 17, 2026 LAD @ NYY 2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025 NYY @ LAD 7 - 3
May 31, 2025 NYY @ LAD 2 - 18
May 30, 2025 NYY @ LAD 5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Los Angeles LAD
1
Games Played
▲ 162
9.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.375 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.447 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.594 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.424
1.041 ▲
OPS
.762
2
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +45.1% more
New York: 9.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.9
OPS (Season) +27.9%
New York: 1.0% vs Los Angeles: 76.2%
Home Runs (L5) +19.0% more
New York: 1.8 vs Los Angeles: 1.5
Slugging Pct (Season) +17.0%
New York: 59.4% vs Los Angeles: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 6.1 2
LAD Score 5.9 18
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.6 / 8.1 21.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.8 5.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.4 / 8.1 9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 15.9 / 15.5 41.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.4 / 1.8 4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
93%MONEY7%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
NYY
LAD
NYY
ML
56% 92-73
47% 76-85
48% 79-87
52% 85-77
ATS
59% 98-67
59% 95-66
43% 72-94
53% 86-76
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 81-73-7
44% 70-90-6
53% 82-72-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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