MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
29-28 | Road
6
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
36-20 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Joey Ortiz
#3 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Edmundo Sosa
#33 | Left Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Ortiz | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Edmundo Sosa | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
100%
PHILLIES
0%
BREWERS
--
PHILLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around PHI -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
MIL By 1-2 runs
17.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
12.2%
PHI By 1-2 runs
19.1%
PHI By 3-4 runs
14.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
4.15
MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia
4.6
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia
5
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Phillies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phillies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Phillies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim
Phillies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
MIL @ PHI
5 - 1
Sep 23, 2026
MIL @ PHI
4 - 1
Sep 22, 2026
MIL @ PHI
4 - 6
Jun 14, 2026
PHI @ MIL
0 - 4
Jun 13, 2026
PHI @ MIL
9 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Philadelphia
PHI
162
▲
Games Played
2
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.438
.743
▲
OPS
.724
154
▲
Home Runs
3
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+43.0% more
Philadelphia: 1.3
vs
Milwaukee: 0.9
Slugging Pct (Season)
+3.5%
Philadelphia: 43.8%
vs
Milwaukee: 40.3%
Home Runs (Season)
+98.1% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+31.9% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Philadelphia: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
4.2
6
PHI Score
4.6
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 7.9
4.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.9
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 10.5
13.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
13.2 / 12.5
9.0 / 21.0
Walks
4.3 / 4.2
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
PHI
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIL
PHI
MIL
ML
59%
97-67
62%
101-61
49%
80-84
52%
84-78
ATS
65%
107-57
58%
94-68
51%
83-81
48%
78-84
TTL
57%
88-67-9
40%
62-92-8
51%
78-76-9
50%
77-77-8
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