SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
31-25 | Road
2
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
22-32 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Camilo Doval
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Janson Junk
#26 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | None-None | 1.09 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
| Janson Junk | None-None | 1.00 | -- | 4.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.09
ERA
Ldr 1.00
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 4.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
MARLINS
0%
GIANTS
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
SF By 1-2 runs
18.2%
SF By 3-4 runs
13.2%
MIA By 1-2 runs
18.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
13.9%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
3.55
SAN FRANCISCO
Miami
3.67
MIAMI
Simulated Score
San Francisco
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Miami
4
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Marlins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Marlins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Marlins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim
Marlins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 21, 2026
SF @ MIA
1 - 2
Jun 20, 2026
SF @ MIA
3 - 6
Jun 19, 2026
SF @ MIA
3 - 4
Apr 26, 2026
MIA @ SF
3 - 6
Apr 25, 2026
MIA @ SF
2 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
4.41
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.249
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.400
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.706
OPS
▲
.727
178
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+126.7% more
Miami: 4.0
vs
San Francisco: 1.8
Home Runs (L5)
+78.0% more
Miami: 1.3
vs
San Francisco: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+59.0% more
Miami: 16.5
vs
San Francisco: 10.4
Hits (L5)
+46.8% more
Miami: 10.4
vs
San Francisco: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
3.6
2
MIA Score
3.7
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.4 / 7.1
3.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.2 / 11.7
12.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
16.5 / 10.4
4.0 / 18.0
Walks
4.0 / 1.8
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
SF
MIA
SF
ML
48%
78-84
49%
79-81
55%
88-72
53%
85-75
ATS
56%
91-71
62%
100-60
54%
86-74
52%
83-77
TTL
56%
88-69-5
55%
82-68-10
53%
82-73-5
46%
68-81-11
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