LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
25-30 | Road
4
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
30-25 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 6.56 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Cade Smith | None-None | 2.84 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.56
ERA
Ldr 2.84
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
GUARDIANS
100%
ANGELS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAA By 3-4 runs
17.3%
CLE By 1-2 runs
15.2%
CLE By 3-4 runs
9.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.24
LOS ANGELES
Cleveland
3.8
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 3
Aug 25, 2026
CLE @ LAA
8 - 6
Aug 24, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 2
May 13, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 4
May 12, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.19
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.380
.679
OPS
▲
.696
154
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+10.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.6
vs
Cleveland: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+48.0% more
Cleveland: 9.4
vs
Los Angeles: 6.4
Total Bases (L5)
+42.8% more
Cleveland: 13.9
vs
Los Angeles: 9.7
Home Runs (Season)
+5.2% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
5.2
4
CLE Score
3.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.4 / 6.4
6.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 9.0
10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 9.7
6.0 / 18.0
Walks
4.1 / 4.6
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
LAA
CLE
LAA
ML
54%
87-74
59%
96-66
49%
80-82
55%
89-73
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
97-65
59%
95-67
51%
82-80
TTL
55%
88-71-2
53%
83-74-5
43%
69-90-2
52%
82-75-5
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