ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
32-24 | Road
1
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
27-30 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Matt Svanson
#49 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ezequiel Duran
#20 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Svanson | None-None | 4.15 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Ezequiel Duran | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.15
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
RANGERS
100%
CARDINALS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
STL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
STL By 3-4 runs
16.4%
TEX By 1-2 runs
16.2%
TEX By 3-4 runs
10.5%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
4.88
ST. LOUIS
Texas
3.83
TEXAS
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Texas
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 3, 2026
TEX @ STL
3 - 5
Jun 2, 2026
TEX @ STL
7 - 4
Jun 1, 2026
TEX @ STL
2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025
STL @ TEX
1 - 8
May 31, 2025
STL @ TEX
2 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis
STL
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.44
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.396
.691
OPS
▲
.713
167
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+82.5% more
St. Louis: 1.2
vs
Texas: 0.2
Total Bases (L5)
+63.2% more
St. Louis: 16.2
vs
Texas: 6.0
Home Runs (L5)
+62.0% more
St. Louis: 1.1
vs
Texas: 0.4
Hits (L5)
+57.0% more
St. Louis: 9.9
vs
Texas: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
4.9
1
TEX Score
3.8
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
4.3 / 9.9
15.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 1.1
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 8.6
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
6.0 / 16.2
23.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.0
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
STL
TEX
STL
ML
53%
86-76
53%
85-74
57%
91-70
52%
84-77
ATS
57%
92-70
56%
89-70
61%
98-63
53%
85-76
TTL
53%
78-70-14
46%
68-81-10
55%
81-66-14
50%
76-75-10
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