EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
0-0-0 | Road
6
DALLAS
STARSDAL
0-0-0 | Home
3
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
STARS
100%
OILERS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
17.6%
EDM By 2-3 goals
19.0%
DAL By 1 goal
17.3%
DAL By 2-3 goals
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.94
EDMONTON
Dallas
2.91
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
EDM @ DAL
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2025
DAL @ EDM
8 - 3
Nov 4, 2025
EDM @ DAL
3 - 4
May 29, 2025
EDM @ DAL
6 - 3
May 27, 2025
DAL @ EDM
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+37.3% more
Edmonton: 44.8
vs
Dallas: 28.1
Takeaways (L5)
+28.0% more
Edmonton: 4.8
vs
Dallas: 3.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.5% more
Edmonton: 18.0
vs
Dallas: 13.8
Power Play % (L5)
+12.7%
Edmonton: 38.7%
vs
Dallas: 26.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.9
6
DAL Score
2.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 18.0
13.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
57.8 / 43.5
45.1 / 54.9
Hits
28.1 / 44.8
40.0 / 46.0
Power Play %
26.0 / 38.7
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 28.9
17.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 4.8
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
EDM
DAL
EDM
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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