WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
25-30 | Road
9
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
30-24 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Daylen Lile
#4 | Left Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylen Lile | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 4.10 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
4.10
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
0%
MARINERS
100%
NATIONALS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around WSH -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1-2 runs
19.4%
WSH By 3-4 runs
15.7%
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.8%
SEA By 3-4 runs
11.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
4.08
WASHINGTON
Seattle
3.3
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nationals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nationals (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
SEA @ WSH
1 - 10
Jun 13, 2026
SEA @ WSH
3 - 8
Jun 12, 2026
SEA @ WSH
10 - 2
May 29, 2025
WSH @ SEA
9 - 3
May 28, 2025
WSH @ SEA
9 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington
WSH
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
5.07
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.321
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.423
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.744
▲
OPS
.693
210
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+42.0% more
Washington: 1.8
vs
Seattle: 1.1
Errors (L5)
+34.0% more
Washington: 1.0
vs
Seattle: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+24.6% more
Washington: 16.3
vs
Seattle: 12.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+19.1% more
Washington: 5.1
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
4.1
9
SEA Score
3.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 1.0
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.1 / 8.1
7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.8
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.0 / 6.4
8.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 16.3
7.0 / 18.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
WSH
SEA
WSH
ML
50%
81-81
57%
92-69
52%
85-77
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
98-64
58%
93-68
59%
95-67
57%
91-70
TTL
56%
85-67-10
50%
77-78-6
53%
81-71-10
42%
65-90-6
Contextual Game News
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…