FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
0-0-0 | Road
5
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
0-0-0 | Home
3
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
HURRICANES
100%
PANTHERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
19.2%
FLA By 2-3 goals
33.9%
CAR By 1 goal
9.4%
CAR By 2-3 goals
6.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
4.32
FLORIDA
Carolina
2.85
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
FLA @ CAR
5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025
CAR @ FLA
3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025
FLA @ CAR
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+23.2% more
Florida: 53.6
vs
Carolina: 41.2
Power Play % (L5)
+5.4%
Florida: 23.3%
vs
Carolina: 17.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.7%
Carolina: 55.6%
vs
Florida: 44.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.5% more
Carolina: 26.6
vs
Florida: 24.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
4.3
5
CAR Score
2.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.7 / 15.7
9.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
55.6 / 44.0
49.3 / 50.7
Hits
41.2 / 53.6
47.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
17.9 / 23.3
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.6 / 24.0
23.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.4
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
FLA
CAR
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
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