CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
17-38 | Road
9
NEW YORK
METSNYM
34-21 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jared Young
#29 | First Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jared Young | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
METS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.5%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.7%
NYM By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYM By 3-4 runs
18.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.03
CHICAGO
New York
4.06
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mets (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Mets (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
NYM @ CHW
1 - 2
Aug 22, 2026
NYM @ CHW
10 - 5
Aug 21, 2026
NYM @ CHW
4 - 6
May 28, 2025
CHW @ NYM
9 - 4
May 27, 2025
CHW @ NYM
4 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
New York
NYM
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.826
▲
OPS
.705
1
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+20300.0% more
New York: 204.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5)
+69.5% more
New York: 5.0
vs
Chicago: 2.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+25.3% more
New York: 8.7
vs
Chicago: 7.0
Hits (L5)
+16.5% more
New York: 8.9
vs
Chicago: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.0
9
NYM Score
4.1
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.4
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.9 / 7.7
5.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.0
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 7.0
6.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 13.1
10.0 / 22.0
Walks
5.0 / 2.9
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
CHW
NYM
CHW
ML
50%
79-80
49%
81-86
48%
76-83
56%
94-73
ATS
58%
93-66
59%
99-68
49%
78-81
56%
93-74
TTL
55%
80-66-13
58%
96-69-2
51%
74-72-13
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …