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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

30-24  |  Road

0
FINAL
Wed, May 28 • 1:10 PM ET
George M. Steinbrenner Field
View Odds Details →

TAMPA BAY

RAYSTB

27-27  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Kody Funderburk
STARTING PITCHER

Kody Funderburk

#57 | Relief Pitcher
@
Drew Rasmussen
STARTING PITCHER

Drew Rasmussen

#57 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kody Funderburk None-None 9.00 -- 1.0 1
Drew Rasmussen None-None 2.33 -- 6.0 5
None-None W-L None-None
9.00 ERA Ldr 2.33
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
100%
📊
RAYS
0%
TWINS --
RAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
TAMPA BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Tampa Bay)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 RaysTB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

34.8%

Rays Cover

65.2%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TB -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TB)

MIN By 1-2 runs

14.8%

MIN By 3-4 runs

9.0%

TB By 1-2 runs

19.7%

TB By 3-4 runs

17.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.06
MINNESOTA
5.62
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
5
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rays Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rays (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim Rays (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 26, 2026 MIN @ TB 2 - 4
Apr 25, 2026 MIN @ TB 1 - 6
Apr 24, 2026 MIN @ TB 2 - 6
Apr 5, 2026 TB @ MIN 4 - 1
Apr 4, 2026 TB @ MIN 7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Tampa Bay TB
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.54
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .326
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.720
OPS
▲ .728
187 ▲
Home Runs
169
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +44.2% more
Tampa Bay: 9.0 vs Minnesota: 6.2
Total Bases (L5) +43.4% more
Tampa Bay: 14.8 vs Minnesota: 10.3
Home Runs (L5) +23.0% more
Tampa Bay: 1.2 vs Minnesota: 1.0
Batting Avg (Season) +1.3%
Tampa Bay: 25.8% vs Minnesota: 24.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 4.1 0
TB Score 5.6 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.0 / 6.2 8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.0 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.6 / 8.4 7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 14.8 / 10.3 14.0 / 6.0
Walks 1.8 / 1.9 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
TB Advantage
101-64-0 (61.2%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
TB Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
MIN
TB
MIN
ML
58% 95-68
52% 84-78
58% 95-68
50% 80-81
ATS
60% 97-66
59% 95-67
55% 90-73
59% 95-66
TTL
47% 73-81-9
51% 78-75-9
51% 78-75-10
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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