ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
23-32 | Road
3
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
29-25 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Soderstrom
#21 | Left Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Josh Hader
#71 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Soderstrom | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Josh Hader | None-None | 1.50 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
1.50
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
ASTROS
0%
ATHLETICS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
ATH By 1-2 runs
4.1%
ATH By 3-4 runs
1.5%
HOU By 1-2 runs
11.6%
HOU By 3-4 runs
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
1.05
ATHLETICS
Houston
6.71
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Houston
6
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -5.7
D
Sim
Astros (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
HOU @ ATH
9 - 0
Sep 26, 2026
HOU @ ATH
13 - 2
Sep 25, 2026
HOU @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 24, 2026
HOU @ ATH
7 - 5
Aug 23, 2026
ATH @ HOU
7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.719
▲
OPS
.582
194
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+88.0% more
Houston: 2.0
vs
Athletics: 1.1
Total Bases (L5)
+41.8% more
Houston: 20.4
vs
Athletics: 14.4
Hits (L5)
+24.8% more
Houston: 12.0
vs
Athletics: 9.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+23.4% more
Houston: 10.2
vs
Athletics: 8.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
1.1
3
HOU Score
6.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
12.0 / 9.6
7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
2.0 / 1.1
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 8.2
18.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
20.4 / 14.4
10.0 / 13.0
Walks
2.2 / 3.0
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
ATH
HOU
ATH
ML
50%
81-82
59%
95-67
47%
77-87
54%
87-74
ATS
56%
91-72
52%
84-78
55%
90-74
50%
81-80
TTL
45%
70-84-9
54%
84-73-5
45%
69-86-9
42%
66-90-5
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…