Home / MLB Projections MLB / Yankees @ Angels NYY @ LAA

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

34-20  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, May 28 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

25-29  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Tim Hill
STARTING PITCHER

Tim Hill

#41 | Relief Pitcher
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tim Hill None-None 3.52 -- 0.1 --
Reid Detmers None-None 6.85 -- 1.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
3.52 Ldr ERA 6.85
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
YANKEES --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (New York)
YankeesNYY (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

62.5%

Angels Cover

37.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

NYY By 1-2 runs

19.7%

NYY By 3-4 runs

17.0%

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

9.8%

AI Model Projected Score
6.1
NEW YORK
4.83
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Yankees Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Yankees (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.9
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 2, 2026 NYY @ LAA 6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026 NYY @ LAA 7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026 NYY @ LAA 1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026 LAA @ NYY 11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026 LAA @ NYY 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
9.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.375 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.447 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.594 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
1.041 ▲
OPS
.679
2
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +55.1% more
New York: 9.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Strikeouts (L5) +37.3% more
New York: 11.2 vs Los Angeles: 7.0
OPS (Season) +36.2%
New York: 1.0% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Slugging Pct (Season) +22.5%
New York: 59.4% vs Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 6.1 1
LAA Score 4.8 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.0 / 7.9 5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.0 / 11.2 13.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 11.6 / 13.4 6.0 / 10.0
Walks 4.4 / 1.6 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
95%MONEY5%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
NYY
LAA
NYY
ML
59% 96-66
47% 76-85
55% 89-73
52% 85-77
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 95-66
51% 82-80
53% 86-76
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 81-73-7
52% 82-75-5
53% 82-72-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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