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DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, May 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

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4
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
STARS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Edmonton)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

29.1%

Oilers Cover

70.9%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

DAL By 1 goal

11.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

8.6%

EDM By 1 goal

19.7%

EDM By 2-3 goals

30.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2.09
DALLAS
3.19
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 EDM @ DAL 2 - 7
Nov 25, 2025 DAL @ EDM 8 - 3
Nov 4, 2025 EDM @ DAL 3 - 4
May 29, 2025 EDM @ DAL 6 - 3
May 27, 2025 DAL @ EDM 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +44.2% more
Edmonton: 44.1 vs Dallas: 30.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +29.6% more
Edmonton: 19.1 vs Dallas: 14.7
Takeaways (L5) +11.1% more
Dallas: 4.2 vs Edmonton: 3.8
Faceoff % (L5) +10.2%
Dallas: 56.0% vs Edmonton: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 2.1 1
EDM Score 3.2 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 19.1 / 14.7 16.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 45.8 / 56.0 38.8 / 61.2
Hits 44.1 / 30.6 46.0 / 23.0
Power Play % 24.8 / 26.5 66.7 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 26.8 / 27.6 33.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 3.8 / 4.2 7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
29%MONEY71%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
DAL
EDM
DAL
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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