Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Guardians LAD @ CLE

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

33-21  |  Road

9
FINAL
Tue, May 27 • 6:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

29-24  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tim Herrin
STARTING PITCHER

Tim Herrin

#29 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jack Dreyer None-None 3.03 -- 1.1 --
Tim Herrin None-None 3.79 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.03 Ldr ERA 3.79
-- WHIP --
1.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
📊
GUARDIANS
100%
DODGERS --
GUARDIANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 GuardiansCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

66.3%

Guardians Cover

33.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

17.8%

CLE By 1-2 runs

14.5%

CLE By 3-4 runs

8.7%

AI Model Projected Score
5.65
LOS ANGELES
3.97
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
5
LOS ANGELES
3
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.7
D
Sim Dodgers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 CLE @ LAD 4 - 1
Mar 31, 2026 CLE @ LAD 1 - 4
Mar 30, 2026 CLE @ LAD 4 - 2
May 28, 2025 LAD @ CLE 4 - 7
May 27, 2025 LAD @ CLE 9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Cleveland CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.762 ▲
OPS
.696
204 ▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +70.4% more
Los Angeles: 1.2 vs Cleveland: 0.3
Errors (L5) +47.8% more
Los Angeles: 1.3 vs Cleveland: 0.7
Home Runs (Season) +20.6% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Cleveland: 162.0
Runs per Game (Season) +15.2% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Cleveland: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 5.7 9
CLE Score 4.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 1.3 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.4 / 7.1 7.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 1.2 1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 8.2 12.0 / 13.0
Total Bases 10.0 / 11.6 11.0 / 22.0
Walks 5.2 / 3.0 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
CLE
86-79-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
CLE Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
LAD
CLE
LAD
ML
54% 87-74
56% 92-73
49% 80-82
48% 79-87
ATS
58% 93-68
59% 98-67
59% 95-67
43% 72-94
TTL
55% 88-71-2
48% 77-82-6
43% 69-90-2
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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