CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
27-28 | Road
7
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
29-26 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brady Singer
#51 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Cruz
#64 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | None-None | 4.60 | -- | 7.0 | 3 |
| Steven Cruz | None-None | 1.93 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.60
ERA
Ldr 1.93
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
100%
ROYALS
0%
REDS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
CIN By 1-2 runs
16.4%
CIN By 3-4 runs
10.7%
KC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
KC By 3-4 runs
16.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
2.7
CINCINNATI
Kansas City
3.66
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
4
CINCINNATI
Kansas City
3
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Reds
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Reds (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 3, 2026
KC @ CIN
5 - 2
Jun 2, 2026
KC @ CIN
3 - 4
Jun 1, 2026
KC @ CIN
9 - 2
May 28, 2025
CIN @ KC
2 - 3
May 27, 2025
CIN @ KC
7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
4.26
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.699
OPS
▲
.718
213
▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+42.0% more
Kansas City: 0.6
vs
Cincinnati: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+27.4% more
Kansas City: 8.3
vs
Cincinnati: 6.5
Runs per Game (Season)
+3.6% more
Kansas City: 4.3
vs
Cincinnati: 4.1
OPS (Season)
+1.9%
Kansas City: 71.8%
vs
Cincinnati: 69.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
2.7
7
KC Score
3.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.1
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.9 / 11.1
8.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.6
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 6.5
11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 16.3
8.0 / 20.0
Walks
2.9 / 2.8
6.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
Advantage
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
CIN
KC
CIN
ML
55%
89-72
55%
88-71
56%
90-70
49%
79-81
ATS
57%
91-70
54%
86-73
58%
93-67
50%
80-80
TTL
58%
90-64-7
53%
81-73-5
54%
83-70-7
54%
83-72-5
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