ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
23-31 | Road
1
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
28-25 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Soderstrom
#21 | Left Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Okert
#48 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Soderstrom | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Steven Okert | None-None | 1.82 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
1.82
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
ASTROS
0%
ATHLETICS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.8
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.8 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -3.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
ATH By 1-2 runs
8.4%
ATH By 3-4 runs
3.9%
HOU By 1-2 runs
16.8%
HOU By 3-4 runs
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
1.36
ATHLETICS
Houston
5.16
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.8
D
Sim
Astros (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
HOU @ ATH
9 - 0
Sep 26, 2026
HOU @ ATH
13 - 2
Sep 25, 2026
HOU @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 24, 2026
HOU @ ATH
7 - 5
Aug 23, 2026
ATH @ HOU
7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.719
▲
OPS
.582
194
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+15.7% more
Houston: 10.3
vs
Athletics: 8.9
Home Runs (Season)
+97.9% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+30.4% more
Athletics: 4.3
vs
Houston: 3.0
OPS (Season)
+13.7%
Athletics: 71.9%
vs
Houston: 58.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
1.4
1
HOU Score
5.2
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
11.4 / 10.9
13.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.1
4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.3 / 8.9
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
16.1 / 16.6
29.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.3 / 3.5
0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
ATH
HOU
ATH
ML
50%
81-82
59%
95-67
47%
77-87
54%
87-74
ATS
56%
91-72
52%
84-78
55%
90-74
50%
81-80
TTL
45%
70-84-9
54%
84-73-5
45%
69-86-9
42%
66-90-5
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