NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
33-20 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
25-28 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Carlos Rodon
#55 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon | None-None | 2.60 | -- | 7.0 | 10 |
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 7.17 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.60 Ldr
ERA
7.17
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
10 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
0%
ANGELS
100%
YANKEES
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.5%
LAA By 1-2 runs
13.5%
LAA By 3-4 runs
7.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
6.67
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
4.63
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Angels (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
NYY @ LAA
6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026
NYY @ LAA
7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026
NYY @ LAA
1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026
LAA @ NYY
11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026
LAA @ NYY
4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
1.041
▲
OPS
.679
2
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+55.1% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+37.8% more
New York: 11.3
vs
Los Angeles: 7.0
OPS (Season)
+36.2%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Hits (L5)
+26.3% more
New York: 8.9
vs
Los Angeles: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
6.7
3
LAA Score
4.6
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.6 / 8.9
8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.5
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.0 / 11.3
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
10.9 / 13.7
13.0 / 13.0
Walks
4.1 / 2.4
5.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
NYY
LAA
NYY
ML
59%
96-66
47%
76-85
55%
89-73
52%
85-77
ATS
60%
97-65
59%
95-66
51%
82-80
53%
86-76
TTL
53%
83-74-5
53%
81-73-7
52%
82-75-5
53%
82-72-7
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