Home / NHL Projections NHL / Hurricanes @ Panthers CAR @ FLA

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, May 26 • 8:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

0-0-0  |  Home

0
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
HURRICANES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Florida)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

14.5%

Panthers Cover

85.5%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

CAR By 1 goal

6.0%

CAR By 2-3 goals

3.3%

FLA By 1 goal

16.9%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.54
CAROLINA
4.66
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
3
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.1
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 29, 2026 FLA @ CAR 1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026 FLA @ CAR 1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025 FLA @ CAR 5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025 CAR @ FLA 3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025 FLA @ CAR 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +25.8% more
Florida: 54.4 vs Carolina: 43.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +12.9% more
Florida: 17.0 vs Carolina: 15.1
Power Play % (L5) +8.1%
Florida: 35.0% vs Carolina: 26.9%
Faceoff % (L5) +10.1%
Carolina: 54.8% vs Florida: 44.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 2.5 3
FLA Score 4.7 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.0 / 15.1 13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 44.7 / 54.8 42.6 / 57.4
Hits 54.4 / 43.3 52.0 / 37.0
Power Play % 3499.0 / 2691.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.1 / 25.9 20.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 5.2 / 4.8 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
CAR
FLA
CAR
ML
0% 0-4
80% 4-1
0% 0-4
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-5
0% 0-4
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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