CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
17-36 | Road
1
NEW YORK
METSNYM
32-21 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Huascar Brazoban
#50 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Torrens
#13 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huascar Brazoban | None-None | 1.11 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| Luis Torrens | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.11
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
METS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYM -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)
CHW By 1-2 runs
15.0%
CHW By 3-4 runs
9.2%
NYM By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYM By 3-4 runs
17.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.37
CHICAGO
New York
3.86
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
NYM @ CHW
1 - 2
Aug 22, 2026
NYM @ CHW
10 - 5
Aug 21, 2026
NYM @ CHW
4 - 6
May 28, 2025
CHW @ NYM
9 - 4
May 27, 2025
CHW @ NYM
4 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
New York
NYM
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.826
▲
OPS
.705
1
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+20300.0% more
New York: 204.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+27.6% more
New York: 9.1
vs
Chicago: 7.1
Home Runs (L5)
+60.5% more
Chicago: 1.5
vs
New York: 0.6
Errors (L5)
+37.0% more
Chicago: 0.8
vs
New York: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.4
1
NYM Score
3.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.6 / 9.2
7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.5
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 7.1
6.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
10.9 / 16.6
9.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.9 / 3.8
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
CHW
NYM
CHW
ML
50%
79-80
49%
81-86
48%
76-83
56%
94-73
ATS
58%
93-66
59%
99-68
49%
78-81
56%
93-74
TTL
55%
80-66-13
58%
96-69-2
51%
74-72-13
51%
84-81-2
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