Home / MLB Projections MLB / Yankees @ Angels NYY @ LAA

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

32-20  |  Road

5
FINAL
Mon, May 26 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

25-27  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Ryan Yarbrough
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Yarbrough

#33 | Relief Pitcher
@
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ryan Yarbrough None-None 3.06 -- 6.0 7
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.06 ERA --
-- WHIP --
6.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
7 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
YANKEES --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (New York)
YankeesNYY (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

64.2%

Angels Cover

35.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

NYY By 1-2 runs

19.7%

NYY By 3-4 runs

17.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.1%

LAA By 3-4 runs

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
6.32
NEW YORK
4.86
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Yankees Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Yankees (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.2
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 2, 2026 NYY @ LAA 6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026 NYY @ LAA 7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026 NYY @ LAA 1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026 LAA @ NYY 11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026 LAA @ NYY 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
9.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.375 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.447 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.594 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
1.041 ▲
OPS
.679
2
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +55.1% more
New York: 9.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Strikeouts (L5) +38.4% more
New York: 11.5 vs Los Angeles: 7.1
OPS (Season) +36.2%
New York: 1.0% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Hits (L5) +29.1% more
New York: 10.3 vs Los Angeles: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 6.3 5
LAA Score 4.9 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.3 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.3 / 10.3 5.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.8 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.1 / 11.5 7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 12.3 / 17.0 8.0 / 7.0
Walks 4.6 / 2.6 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
NYY
LAA
NYY
ML
59% 96-66
47% 76-85
55% 89-73
52% 85-77
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 95-66
51% 82-80
53% 86-76
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 81-73-7
52% 82-75-5
53% 82-72-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 3 hours ago
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 3 hours, 8 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 3 hours, 18 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 8 hours, 56 minutes ago
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
yahoo 9 hours, 6 minutes ago