Home / NHL Projections NHL / Stars @ Oilers DAL @ EDM

DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, May 25 • 3:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

0-0-0  |  Home

6
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
STARS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Edmonton)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

48.8%

Oilers Cover

51.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

DAL By 1 goal

17.2%

DAL By 2-3 goals

18.0%

EDM By 1 goal

17.7%

EDM By 2-3 goals

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2.56
DALLAS
2.62
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 EDM @ DAL 2 - 7
Nov 25, 2025 DAL @ EDM 8 - 3
Nov 4, 2025 EDM @ DAL 3 - 4
May 29, 2025 EDM @ DAL 6 - 3
May 27, 2025 DAL @ EDM 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +38.2% more
Edmonton: 42.7 vs Dallas: 30.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +33.4% more
Edmonton: 18.1 vs Dallas: 13.6
Takeaways (L5) +20.9% more
Edmonton: 4.6 vs Dallas: 3.8
Shots on Goal (L5) +15.6% more
Edmonton: 28.3 vs Dallas: 24.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 2.6 1
EDM Score 2.6 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 18.1 / 13.6 21.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 44.9 / 57.9 47.6 / 52.4
Hits 42.7 / 30.9 47.0 / 30.0
Power Play % 20.5 / 39.8 33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.3 / 24.4 24.0 / 34.0
Takeaways 4.6 / 3.8 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
37%MONEY63%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
DAL
EDM
DAL
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
yahoo 2 days, 18 hours ago
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
yahoo 2 days, 18 hours ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 5 hours ago