Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Nationals SF @ WSH

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

30-22  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, May 25 • 1:35 PM ET
Nationals Park
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

NATIONALSWSH

24-28  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Willy Adames
STARTING PITCHER

Willy Adames

#2 | Shortstop
@
Keibert Ruiz
STARTING PITCHER

Keibert Ruiz

#20 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Willy Adames None-None -- -- -- --
Keibert Ruiz None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
NATIONALS
100%
GIANTS --
NATIONALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 NationalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

57.0%

Nationals Cover

43.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.4%

SF By 3-4 runs

15.6%

WSH By 1-2 runs

17.0%

WSH By 3-4 runs

11.5%

AI Model Projected Score
4.36
SAN FRANCISCO
3.65
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nationals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim Nationals (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 10, 2026 WSH @ SF 10 - 11
Jun 9, 2026 WSH @ SF 6 - 3
Jun 8, 2026 WSH @ SF 4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026 SF @ WSH 0 - 3
Apr 18, 2026 SF @ WSH 7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Washington WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 5.07
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .246
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .321
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .423
.706
OPS
▲ .744
178
Home Runs
▲ 210
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +120.1% more
Washington: 3.1 vs San Francisco: 1.4
Total Bases (L5) +53.3% more
Washington: 13.1 vs San Francisco: 8.6
Strikeouts (L5) +40.1% more
Washington: 9.0 vs San Francisco: 6.4
Hits (L5) +39.3% more
Washington: 8.3 vs San Francisco: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.4 3
WSH Score 3.7 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.5 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.3 / 5.9 5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.6 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.0 / 6.4 4.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 13.1 / 8.6 9.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.1 / 1.4 2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
WSH Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
WSH Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SF
WSH
SF
ML
57% 92-69
49% 79-81
54% 87-74
53% 85-75
ATS
58% 93-68
62% 100-60
57% 91-70
52% 83-77
TTL
50% 77-78-6
55% 82-68-10
42% 65-90-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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