TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
25-28 | Road
5
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
17-35 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Latz
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Latz | None-None | 4.15 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Davis Martin | None-None | 3.45 | -- | 6.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.15
ERA
Ldr 3.45
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
WHITE SOX
0%
RANGERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
TEX By 1-2 runs
17.8%
TEX By 3-4 runs
12.6%
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.9%
CHW By 3-4 runs
14.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
3.3
TEXAS
Chicago
3.62
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
TEX @ CHW
4 - 10
Aug 25, 2026
TEX @ CHW
7 - 11
Aug 24, 2026
TEX @ CHW
11 - 2
Jul 22, 2026
CHW @ TEX
4 - 2
Jul 21, 2026
CHW @ TEX
0 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.713
OPS
▲
.826
183
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+58.2% more
Chicago: 15.4
vs
Texas: 9.8
Hits (L5)
+56.6% more
Chicago: 9.3
vs
Texas: 6.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+44.6% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Texas: 4.2
Home Runs (L5)
+44.0% more
Chicago: 1.3
vs
Texas: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
3.3
5
CHW Score
3.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.3 / 1.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 6.0
9.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.8
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 7.0
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
15.4 / 9.8
19.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.7 / 4.5
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TEX
CHW
TEX
ML
48%
81-87
53%
86-76
56%
94-74
57%
91-70
ATS
59%
99-69
57%
92-70
55%
93-75
61%
98-63
TTL
58%
97-69-2
53%
78-70-14
51%
85-81-2
55%
81-66-14
Contextual Game News
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Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox