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MIAMI

MARLINSMIA

20-30  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, May 25 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

25-26  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Calvin Faucher
STARTING PITCHER

Calvin Faucher

#53 | Relief Pitcher
@
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Calvin Faucher None-None 5.29 -- 1.0 1
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
5.29 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
MARLINS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
MarlinsMIA (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Marlins Cover

40.0%

Angels Cover

60.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

MIA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

MIA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3.77
MIAMI
4.78
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
MIAMI
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 9, 2026 LAA @ MIA 3 - 12
Aug 8, 2026 LAA @ MIA 0 - 7
Aug 7, 2026 LAA @ MIA 4 - 3
May 25, 2025 MIA @ LAA 3 - 0
May 24, 2025 MIA @ LAA 6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami MIA
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.41 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.249 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.326 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.727 ▲
OPS
.679
168 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +216.9% more
Los Angeles: 6.4 vs Miami: 2.0
Home Runs (L5) +61.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.6 vs Miami: 0.9
Errors (L5) +32.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8 vs Miami: 0.5
Total Bases (L5) +16.2% more
Los Angeles: 16.5 vs Miami: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIA Score 3.8 3
LAA Score 4.8 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.5 / 10.1 3.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.6 / 8.1 8.0 / 15.0
Total Bases 16.5 / 14.2 4.0 / 12.0
Walks 6.4 / 2.0 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
MIA
LAA
MIA
ML
59% 96-66
48% 78-84
55% 89-73
55% 88-72
ATS
60% 97-65
56% 91-71
51% 82-80
54% 86-74
TTL
53% 83-74-5
56% 88-69-5
52% 82-75-5
53% 82-73-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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