LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
32-20 | Road
1
NEW YORK
METSNYM
31-21 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kodai Senga
#34 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 3.18 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kodai Senga | None-None | 1.46 | -- | 5.1 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.18
ERA
Ldr 1.46
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.1
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
METS
100%
DODGERS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.1%
LAD By 3-4 runs
15.0%
NYM By 1-2 runs
17.5%
NYM By 3-4 runs
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.37
LOS ANGELES
New York
4.88
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim
Dodgers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
LAD @ NYM
3 - 8
Jul 25, 2026
LAD @ NYM
4 - 3
Jul 24, 2026
LAD @ NYM
4 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
NYM @ LAD
2 - 8
Apr 14, 2026
NYM @ LAD
1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.762
▲
OPS
.705
204
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+17.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.6
vs
New York: 0.4
Walks (L5)
+13.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.4
vs
New York: 3.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+12.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
New York: 4.3
OPS (Season)
+5.7%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
New York: 70.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.4
1
NYM Score
4.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.3
1.0 / 4.0
Hits
8.3 / 7.1
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 8.4
7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
11.3 / 10.1
10.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.8 / 4.4
4.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
NYM
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
LAD
NYM
LAD
ML
50%
79-80
56%
92-73
48%
76-83
48%
79-87
ATS
58%
93-66
59%
98-67
49%
78-81
43%
72-94
TTL
55%
80-66-13
48%
77-82-6
51%
74-72-13
44%
70-90-6
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…