Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Jets SEA @ NYJ

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

6-5  |  Road

26
FINAL
Sun, Dec 1 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

JETSNYJ

3-8  |  Home

21
Key Game
Irv Charles
KEY GAME

Irv Charles

#85 | Wide Receiver
@
Qwan'tez Stiggers
KEY GAME

Qwan'tez Stiggers

#37 | Cornerback
Player
Irv Charles None-None
Qwan'tez Stiggers None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
76%
📊
JETS
24%
SEAHAWKS --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.6 points (Seattle)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 JetsNYJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

70.6%

Jets Cover

29.4%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -7.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-6 points

16.3%

SEA By 7-13 points

19.5%

NYJ By 1-6 points

12.5%

NYJ By 7-13 points

9.1%

AI Model Projected Score
25.27
SEATTLE
17.67
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
17
SEATTLE
24
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
76% Win Prob
B
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.6
C
Sim Jets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 42.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2024 SEA @ NYJ 26 - 21
Jan 1, 2023 NYJ @ SEA 6 - 23
Dec 13, 2020 NYJ @ SEA 3 - 40
Oct 2, 2016 SEA @ NYJ 27 - 17
Nov 11, 2012 NYJ @ SEA 7 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +52.1% more
Seattle: 1.4 vs New York: 0.7
Net Passing Yards (L5) +23.6% more
Seattle: 236.4 vs New York: 180.7
First Downs (L5) +18.2% more
Seattle: 18.8 vs New York: 15.4
Total Yards (L5) +14.6% more
Seattle: 316.3 vs New York: 270.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 25.3 26
NYJ Score 17.7 21
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.4 / 18.8 17.0 / 16.0
Net Passing Yards 180.7 / 236.4 169.0 / 175.0
Rushing Yards 89.4 / 79.9 89.0 / 84.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 270.1 / 316.3 258.0 / 259.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 1.4 2.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 4.9 / 5.1 4.2 / 4.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
NYJ
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
NYJ Advantage
2-1-1 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
NYJ
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYJ
SEA
NYJ
SEA
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2-1
50% 1-1-2
33% 1-2-1
50% 1-1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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