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OKLAHOMA CITY

THUNDEROKC

46-11  |  Road

129
FINAL
Wed, Feb 26 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

21-36  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
0%
📊
NETS
100%
THUNDER --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.3
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.3 points (Oklahoma City)
ThunderOKC (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thunder Cover

73.6%

Nets Cover

26.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKC -6.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)

OKC By 1-7 points

26.7%

OKC By 8-14 points

24.6%

BKN By 1-7 points

16.4%

BKN By 8-14 points

6.5%

AI Model Projected Score
117.98
OKLAHOMA CITY
111.67
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
109
OKLAHOMA CITY
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Thunder Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Thunder (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.3
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 229.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 18, 2026 OKC @ BKN 121 - 92
Feb 20, 2026 BKN @ OKC 86 - 105
Feb 26, 2025 OKC @ BKN 129 - 121
Jan 19, 2025 BKN @ OKC 101 - 127
Jan 5, 2024 OKC @ BKN 115 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +15.4% more
Oklahoma City: 29.3 vs Brooklyn: 24.8
Blocks (L5) +11.4% more
Oklahoma City: 7.6 vs Brooklyn: 6.8
Rebounding (L5) +10.6% more
Oklahoma City: 47.4 vs Brooklyn: 42.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
Oklahoma City: 39.0% vs Brooklyn: 30.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKC Score 118.0 129
BKN Score 111.7 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 39.0 37.7 / 30.0
Assists 24.8 / 29.3 31.0 / 27.0
Blocks 6.8 / 7.6 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 47.4 40.9 / 53.3
Free Throw % 77.7 / 80.6 88.0 / 82.8
Rebounding 42.4 / 47.4 46.0 / 45.0
Steals 11.6 / 9.3 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 16.5 / 11.6 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC Advantage
75-22-0 (77.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC Advantage
47-50-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3% Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
OKC
BKN
OKC
ML
53% 50-45
70% 80-34
59% 48-34
48% 46-49
ATS
52% 48-44-3
73% 83-30-1
59% 48-34
48% 46-49
TTL
57% 54-41
67% 76-38
100% 82-0
100% 95-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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