OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
53-12 | Road
118
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
47-18 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
0%
CELTICS
100%
THUNDER
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Oklahoma City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKC -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)
OKC By 1-7 points
25.7%
OKC By 8-14 points
15.9%
BOS By 1-7 points
25.0%
BOS By 8-14 points
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma City
123.95
OKLAHOMA CITY
Boston
123.57
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Oklahoma City
112
OKLAHOMA CITY
Boston
117
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Thunder
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Thunder (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 247.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
OKC @ BOS
109 - 119
Mar 12, 2026
BOS @ OKC
102 - 104
Mar 12, 2025
OKC @ BOS
118 - 112
Jan 5, 2025
BOS @ OKC
92 - 105
Apr 3, 2024
OKC @ BOS
100 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.8% more
Oklahoma City: 7.8
vs
Boston: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.3%
Oklahoma City: 87.4%
vs
Boston: 84.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Oklahoma City: 48.4%
vs
Boston: 46.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Oklahoma City: 39.0%
vs
Boston: 37.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OKC Score
124.0
118
BOS Score
123.6
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 39.0
31.7 / 35.1
Assists
26.5 / 27.9
25.0 / 19.0
Blocks
6.1 / 7.8
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 48.4
43.6 / 48.8
Free Throw %
84.2 / 87.4
83.3 / 71.4
Rebounding
45.5 / 44.2
41.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.7 / 8.8
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.0
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
OKC
BOS
OKC
ML
57%
61-46
70%
80-34
53%
47-41
48%
46-49
ATS
59%
61-43-3
73%
83-30-1
53%
47-41
48%
46-49
TTL
56%
60-47
67%
76-38
100%
88-0
100%
95-0
Contextual Game News
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
Providence Basketball Awaits NCAA Eligibility Verdicts for Dink …