COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
24-19-7 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
31-15-5 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 0.99 | 0.962 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.99
GAA
--
0.962
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
38%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
62%
BLUE JACKETS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
CBJ By 1 goal
10.2%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
7.1%
VGK By 1 goal
19.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
32.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.57
COLUMBUS
Vegas
3.9
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.3
B
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
CBJ @ VGK
3 - 5
Dec 13, 2025
VGK @ CBJ
3 - 2
Mar 13, 2025
VGK @ CBJ
4 - 0
Jan 30, 2025
CBJ @ VGK
2 - 1
Mar 23, 2024
CBJ @ VGK
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+34.4%
Vegas: 39.4%
vs
Columbus: 5.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.7% more
Vegas: 27.6
vs
Columbus: 24.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.6%
Vegas: 50.4%
vs
Columbus: 40.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.7% more
Columbus: 22.3
vs
Vegas: 16.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.6
2
VGK Score
3.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 22.3
11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
50.4 / 40.8
58.7 / 41.3
Hits
20.7 / 19.8
10.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
3942.0 / 505.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 24.0
26.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.4
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CBJ
VGK
CBJ
ML
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
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