COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
26-19-7 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
33-17-1 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 5.26 | 0.872 | -- |
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 3.05 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.26
GAA
Ldr 3.05
0.872
Save %
Ldr 0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
41%
STARS
59%
BLUE JACKETS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
25%
Under 0
75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
CBJ By 1 goal
15.5%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
14.4%
DAL By 1 goal
18.9%
DAL By 2-3 goals
23.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.57
COLUMBUS
Dallas
2.98
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
B
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
DAL @ CBJ
0 - 1
Oct 21, 2025
CBJ @ DAL
5 - 1
Feb 25, 2025
DAL @ CBJ
4 - 6
Feb 2, 2025
CBJ @ DAL
3 - 5
Nov 9, 2023
DAL @ CBJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+31.5%
Dallas: 33.8%
vs
Columbus: 2.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.6%
Dallas: 51.7%
vs
Columbus: 40.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+34.8% more
Columbus: 5.8
vs
Dallas: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.6
3
DAL Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.4 / 19.5
15.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
51.7 / 40.1
57.8 / 42.2
Hits
20.1 / 19.1
22.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
33.8 / 2.2
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.2 / 23.7
39.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 5.8
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
CBJ
DAL
CBJ
ML
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
TTL
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
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