VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
31-15-6 | Road
2
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
24-23-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 4.11 | 0.857 | -- |
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 2.00 | 0.944 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.11
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.944
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
66%
RANGERS
34%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
18.3%
VGK By 2-3 goals
21.1%
NYR By 1 goal
16.5%
NYR By 2-3 goals
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.26
VEGAS
New York
3.04
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
B
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
VGK @ NYR
3 - 2
Nov 18, 2025
NYR @ VGK
2 - 3
Feb 2, 2025
VGK @ NYR
2 - 4
Jan 11, 2025
NYR @ VGK
2 - 1
Jan 26, 2024
VGK @ NYR
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+3.3%
Vegas: 26.3%
vs
New York: 23.0%
Hits (L5)
+45.3% more
New York: 24.9
vs
Vegas: 17.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.3
2
NYR Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 14.8
15.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
54.1 / 53.2
56.7 / 43.3
Hits
24.9 / 17.1
38.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
23.0 / 26.3
100.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
27.9 / 27.1
28.0 / 36.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.3
2.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
VGK
NYR
VGK
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
TTL
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
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